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    Storm Prediction Center
    SPC Forecast Products
    • No watches are valid as of Sun Dec 7 01:04:02 UTC 2025.
    • MD 2251 CONCERNING HEAVY SNOW FOR CENTRAL IOWA
      MD 2251 Image
      
      Mesoscale Discussion 2251
      NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
      0654 PM CST Sat Dec 06 2025
      
      Areas affected...central Iowa
      
      Concerning...Heavy snow 
      
      Valid 070054Z - 070400Z
      
      SUMMARY...Moderate to heavy snow to continue across portions of
      central Iowa over the next couple of hours. Occasional rates 1"/hr
      with heavier bands.
      
      DISCUSSION...Recent radar and surface observations suggest moderate
      to heavy snow continues across portions of central Iowa. This is
      occurring near the surface low and in the region of strong DPVA
      aloft overspreading central Iowa. Two regions that will favor heavy
      snow (possible 1"/hr rates) over the next couple of hours are near
      the zone of 700-850 mb frontogenesis across central Iowa north of
      Des Moines and in a smaller mesoscale sector along and south of I-80
      and trending eastward of I-35 where a more narrow band of heavy snow
      has developed.  Guidance indicates a gradual downward trend in
      snowfall rates is expected through the late evening/early morning
      Sunday. However, periods of locally moderate snow may continue at
      times across northeastern Iowa into southern Wisconsin/northern
      Illinois.
      
      ..Thornton.. 12/07/2025
      
      ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
      
      ATTN...WFO...DVN...DMX...
      
      LAT...LON   41659462 41259415 40959400 40789385 40689358 40719337
                  40909298 41079272 41409255 42279223 42579245 42759301
                  42839358 42509421 41659462 
      
      
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    • SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
      Day 1 Outlook Image
      Day 1 Convective Outlook  
      NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
      0652 PM CST Sat Dec 06 2025
      
      Valid 070100Z - 071200Z
      
      ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
      
      ...SUMMARY...
      Isolated thunderstorms are possible near a portion of the
      north-central/northeast Gulf Coast during the early morning Sunday.
      
      ...Discussion...
      Conditions will be too dry/stable for appreciable
      lightning-producing convection across much of the CONUS through the
      period. However, elevated thunderstorms are expected to commence
      across the north-central to northeast Gulf Coast overnight. Some of
      this activity might approach the nearshore waters and immediate
      coastline over the MS River Delta and the FL Panhandle before 12Z
      Sunday.
      
      ..Grams.. 12/07/2025
      
      
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    • SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
      Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook Image
      Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
      NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
      0305 PM CST Sat Dec 06 2025
      
      Valid 081200Z - 141200Z
      
      ...Synopsis...
      Surface high pressure moving into the eastern U.S. will promote
      benign fire weather conditions across the region Day 3/Monday,
      including additional rainfall over the Southeast along an advancing
      cold front. A mid-level short wave translating southeastward within
      broad northwesterly flow aloft should reach the Northern Plains by
      Day 4/Tuesday. A corresponding surface cyclone over the Dakotas and
      southward extending lee troughing along the High Plains should
      support dry and breezy downslope conditions across eastern NM and
      portions of West TX by Tuesday afternoon. However, even with
      additional days of drying through Tuesday, fuels are expected to
      remain muted, reducing the overall fire weather threat. A stronger
      polar jet develops within a gradually amplifying upper-level wave
      pattern over CONUS through late next week as mid-level troughing
      persists across the eastern U.S. while ridging builds further into
      the western states. This will support another cold air mass
      intrusion into the eastern U.S. while much of the Great Basin, CA
      and the Southwest remain dry within a lighter wind regime under the
      expanding/advancing ridge, limiting broader fire weather concerns.
      
      ..Williams.. 12/06/2025
      
      ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
      
      
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