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Mesoscale Discussion 2251
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0654 PM CST Sat Dec 06 2025
Areas affected...central Iowa
Concerning...Heavy snow
Valid 070054Z - 070400Z
SUMMARY...Moderate to heavy snow to continue across portions of
central Iowa over the next couple of hours. Occasional rates 1"/hr
with heavier bands.
DISCUSSION...Recent radar and surface observations suggest moderate
to heavy snow continues across portions of central Iowa. This is
occurring near the surface low and in the region of strong DPVA
aloft overspreading central Iowa. Two regions that will favor heavy
snow (possible 1"/hr rates) over the next couple of hours are near
the zone of 700-850 mb frontogenesis across central Iowa north of
Des Moines and in a smaller mesoscale sector along and south of I-80
and trending eastward of I-35 where a more narrow band of heavy snow
has developed. Guidance indicates a gradual downward trend in
snowfall rates is expected through the late evening/early morning
Sunday. However, periods of locally moderate snow may continue at
times across northeastern Iowa into southern Wisconsin/northern
Illinois.
..Thornton.. 12/07/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...DVN...DMX...
LAT...LON 41659462 41259415 40959400 40789385 40689358 40719337
40909298 41079272 41409255 42279223 42579245 42759301
42839358 42509421 41659462
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Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0652 PM CST Sat Dec 06 2025 Valid 070100Z - 071200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms are possible near a portion of the north-central/northeast Gulf Coast during the early morning Sunday. ...Discussion... Conditions will be too dry/stable for appreciable lightning-producing convection across much of the CONUS through the period. However, elevated thunderstorms are expected to commence across the north-central to northeast Gulf Coast overnight. Some of this activity might approach the nearshore waters and immediate coastline over the MS River Delta and the FL Panhandle before 12Z Sunday. ..Grams.. 12/07/2025Read more

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0305 PM CST Sat Dec 06 2025 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z ...Synopsis... Surface high pressure moving into the eastern U.S. will promote benign fire weather conditions across the region Day 3/Monday, including additional rainfall over the Southeast along an advancing cold front. A mid-level short wave translating southeastward within broad northwesterly flow aloft should reach the Northern Plains by Day 4/Tuesday. A corresponding surface cyclone over the Dakotas and southward extending lee troughing along the High Plains should support dry and breezy downslope conditions across eastern NM and portions of West TX by Tuesday afternoon. However, even with additional days of drying through Tuesday, fuels are expected to remain muted, reducing the overall fire weather threat. A stronger polar jet develops within a gradually amplifying upper-level wave pattern over CONUS through late next week as mid-level troughing persists across the eastern U.S. while ridging builds further into the western states. This will support another cold air mass intrusion into the eastern U.S. while much of the Great Basin, CA and the Southwest remain dry within a lighter wind regime under the expanding/advancing ridge, limiting broader fire weather concerns. ..Williams.. 12/06/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...Read more